David Seifert | DIBaseball.com | January 30, 2020

The top 150 pitchers in college baseball, according to D1Baseball analytics

Reid Detmers an ace for Louisville

We hope that you’ve enjoyed checking out our breakdown of the preseason top-25 teams. To continue in our preparation for the 2020 college baseball season, we have also generated a computer version of top pitchers with a method used by most organizations to identify potential prospects: statistical analysis.

As scouts begin to build their draft list for 2020, the analytics department for each front office will send its area scouts a list of analytic follows. In many instances, the names on the analytics list will match those already on a scout’s list. In other instances, names on the analytic list may be new to a scout, prompting the scout to get out and take a look at the office’s recommendations.

We have approached the analytics process in similar fashion — to identify possible under the radar prospects. We have broken down pitching into three categories: Zone Control, Pitch Ability, and Durability. Zone Control (ZC) is how well the pitcher controls the strike zone with strikeouts, walks, wild pitches and hit by pitch. Pitch Ability (PA) refers to a pitcher’s ability to pitch using statistics like WHIP, FIP and OppSLG. Durability (DR) is largely based on innings pitched as college starting pitchers have shown greater success in professional baseball than college relievers.

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Adjustments have been made to account for park effects of the most extreme hitter and pitcher friendly parks, as well as an adjustment for a team’s strength of schedule. Our analysis is based on 2019 spring season statistics only and does not consider how a pitcher fields his position or holds baserunners. Nor does it consider a pitcher’s athleticism, arm action, delivery, projection or any other in-person scouted qualities. It is simply a list to identify pitchers who have statistically performed in areas that are proven to correlate into professional baseball. Pitchers are graded from 0-100.

Scroll left to right for all grades.

rank	pitcher	school	overall	zone control	pitchability	durability
1	Reid Detmers	Louisville	94.0	89.9	92.5	91.8
2	Mason Hickman	Vanderbilt	92.5	87.4	92.7	84.7
3	Kumar Rocker	Vanderbilt	91.7	84.7	91.4	86.3
4	Emerson Hancock	Georgia	90.0	85.6	94.4	81.5
5	Tanner Burns	Auburn	89.3	85.0	90.4	77.5
6	Asa Lacy	Texas A&M	89.3	85.0	92.0	81.3
7	JT Ginn	Mississippi St	89.0	85.2	93.0	80.4
8	Trenton Denholm	UC Irvine	88.2	82.4	95.7	85.6
9	John Stankiewicz	Fordham	87.7	85.3	94.2	82.6
10	Tyler Brown	Vanderbilt	87.0	89.6	95.4	63.9
11	Landon Knack	ETSU	86.8	83.0	91.3	85.3
12	CJ Van Eyk	Florida St	86.8	83.5	88.2	86.7
13	Jeff Criswell	Michigan	86.4	80.1	88.9	89.4
14	Jacob Key	UIC	86.4	80.0	88.9	89.3
15	Jack Owen	Auburn	86.3	81.5	90.4	72.5
16	Brian Van Belle	Miami (FL)	86.2	80.3	88.4	84.6
17	Doug Nikhazy	Ole Miss	86.2	79.8	87.1	81.9
18	Logan Allen	FIU	86.1	87.5	90.3	79.6
19	Noah Cameron	Central Arkansas	85.8	82.7	90.1	83.8
20	Zach Hester	Samford	85.8	84.7	93.1	78.6
21	Stephen Hansen	Iona	85.7	83.5	90.5	84.3
22	Collin Liberatore	Indiana St.	85.6	78.3	89.9	87.6
23	Kade Mechals	Grand Canyon	85.5	81.9	91.1	82.7
24	Walker Powell	Southern Miss	85.5	80.3	89.2	86.0
25	Hayes Heinecke	Wofford	85.4	82.7	91.2	81.3
26	Jake Kuchmaner	East Carolina	85.3	79.5	90.3	80.5
27	Slade Cecconi	Miami (FL)	85.2	83.5	88.6	78.1
28	Javin Drake	Western Illinois	85.1	80.3	87.1	88.4
29	Jared Wetherbee	Elon	84.9	84.4	90.1	79.4
30	Max Meyer	Minnesota	84.9	84.4	92.6	76.1
31	Daniel Paret	Stetson	84.7	80.0	89.0	84.3
32	Cameron Brown	Central Michigan	84.7	78.3	89.3	85.9
33	Bryce Elder	Texas	84.6	80.2	89.8	79.2
34	Seth Lonsway	Ohio St.	84.6	80.4	88.6	83.9
35	Davis Sharpe	Clemson	84.5	79.3	90.2	79.7
36	Mason Studstill	FGCU	84.5	80.5	91.4	80.6
37	Cole Henry	LSU	84.4	84.7	89.9	68.3
38	Tyler Olmstead	South Dakota St	84.4	79.2	89.4	84.8
39	Tommy Mace	Florida	84.4	75.9	83.7	82.7
40	Scott Randall	Sacramento St	84.4	78.3	89.8	84.0
41	Micah Dallas	Texas Tech	84.3	81.4	86.6	76.2
42	Chris Weber	Texas A&M	84.3	83.7	88.9	71.3
43	Tyler Thornton	Saint Mary’s/ASU	84.3	83.2	92.7	76.1
44	Bobby Miller	Louisville	84.3	79.4	88.5	78.0
45	Luke Gesell	UNCW	84.1	78.2	90.2	83.1
46	Jordan Wicks	Kansas St	84.1	81.4	87.3	80.1
47	Brendan Beck	Stanford	84.1	80.7	87.1	83.1
48	Bryce Jarvis	Duke	84.0	80.9	86.6	76.3
49	Connor Noland	Arkansas	84.0	79.2	87.8	76.9
50	Eric Miles	Presbyterian	84.0	80.8	86.3	83.9
51	Adam Seminaris	Long Beach St	83.9	77.8	88.6	84.4
52	Luke Taggart	Incarnate Word	83.9	81.2	88.4	81.2
53	Hunter Wolfe	Dayton	83.9	79.4	89.1	82.2
54	Max Loven	North Dakota St	83.8	81.6	91.6	81.2
55	Logan Wiley	Missouri St.	83.7	80.1	87.4	82.7
56	Griffan Smith	Ohio St.	83.7	78.7	85.8	85.7
57	AJ Jones	Jacksonville	83.7	79.5	89.8	80.9
58	Kyle Mora	UCLA	83.7	84.7	92.8	67.1
59	Kyle Coleman	Florida A&M	83.7	76.3	86.6	87.2
60	Chris Gonzalez	Stetson	83.6	78.9	87.4	83.7
61	Alek Jacob	Gonzaga	83.6	81.5	91.4	77.2
62	Landon Roupp	UNCW	83.5	81.3	89.9	78.3
63	Nick Frasso	Loyola Marymount	83.5	86.7	95.8	67.0
64	Garrett Crochet	Tennessee	83.5	84.0	86.0	71.5
65	Joshua South	Belmont	83.4	80.2	86.9	82.2
66	Rodney Boone	UC Santa Barbara	83.4	81.1	90.2	78.0
67	Carlos Lomeli	Saint Mary’s (CA)	83.3	78.5	89.5	81.1
68	Josh Agnew	Loyola Marymount	83.3	78.6	89.5	80.8
69	Chase Walter	Western Caro.	83.2	79.9	84.6	84.2
70	Alex Pham	San Francisco	83.2	84.2	90.6	73.9
71	Noah Skirrow	Liberty	83.1	82.9	89.2	76.4
72	Brett Kerry	South Carolina	83.1	85.0	92.6	67.9
73	Charles King	TCU	83.1	78.4	88.9	80.3
74	Pierson Ohl	Grand Canyon	83.1	78.5	86.9	82.9
75	Jesse Bergin	UCLA	83.1	82.6	88.0	72.2
76	Tanner Bibee	Cal St. Fullerton	83.0	78.1	84.9	85.0
77	Ian Seymour	Virginia Tech	82.9	82.7	87.5	73.8
78	John Baker	Ball St.	82.9	82.4	91.2	74.1
79	Mat Clark	Clemson	82.9	79.8	89.9	74.5
80	Paul Dickens	Baylor	82.9	82.8	86.3	77.8
81	Justin Sorokowski	VCU	82.9	82.3	90.7	74.7
82	Patrick Wicklander	Arkansas	82.8	81.5	86.8	72.2
83	Brant Hurter	Georgia Tech	82.7	84.4	93.3	63.9
84	Lael Lockhart	Houston	82.7	78.1	87.7	79.4
85	Garrett Burhenn	Ohio St.	82.6	76.9	87.0	82.9
86	Brett Standlee	Oklahoma St	82.6	77.8	84.8	75.0
87	Nick Dombkowski	Hartford	82.5	80.5	86.5	79.7
88	T.J. Stuart	Manhattan	82.5	79.3	87.5	80.9
89	Levi Thomas	Troy	82.5	80.9	87.3	78.4
90	Holden Powell	UCLA	82.5	82.3	94.6	64.0
91	Austin Love	North Carolina	82.4	79.4	90.9	72.1
92	Alex Pansini	Marist	82.4	79.3	87.4	79.5
93	Austin Koehn	UNC Greensboro	82.4	79.8	89.8	76.6
94	Levi Prater	Oklahoma	82.3	80.3	87.5	78.1
95	Drake Nightengale	South Alabama	82.3	81.5	90.3	74.1
96	Harry Rutkowski	Rutgers	82.3	80.7	86.2	79.0
97	Will Dion	McNeese	82.3	86.5	95.2	64.2
98	Thomas Girard	Duke	82.2	84.2	91.8	62.8
99	Justin Sterner	BYU	82.2	81.2	90.9	73.7
100	Gunnar Hoglund	Ole Miss	82.2	79.1	85.2	72.9
101	Austin Miller	Ole Miss	82.2	81.3	89.4	66.5
102	Peyton Wigginton	Middle Tenn.	82.2	80.4	84.9	80.3
103	Jordan DiValerio	Saint Joseph’s	82.2	81.8	89.2	74.7
104	Chance Hroch	New Mexico St	82.2	77.5	87.6	80.5
105	David Dunlavey	Furman/Mississippi St	82.1	77.4	86.2	81.9
106	Wade Strain	William & Mary	82.1	77.5	89.0	79.0
107	Tommy Sheehan	Notre Dame	82.0	76.7	84.7	83.6
108	Nikelle Galatas	Jackson St.	82.0	76.4	88.4	89.6
109	Chandler Jozwiak	Texas A&M	82.0	83.8	84.9	68.7
110	Alex Stiegler	Yale	82.0	82.1	86.9	76.1
111	Ryan Miller	N.C. Central	82.0	83.4	89.7	74.0
112	Chris McMahon	Miami (FL)	82.0	82.3	89.4	69.0
113	Cody Greenhill	Auburn	82.0	77.0	87.2	68.0
114	Kyle Hurt	Southern California	82.0	78.6	86.1	75.6
115	Chris Turpin	New Orleans	82.0	78.4	86.2	80.4
116	Nic McCay	South Dakota St	81.9	80.7	87.6	77.7
117	Grant Judkins	Iowa	81.9	77.6	88.2	78.9
118	Ryan Cyr	Kansas	81.9	76.1	82.9	85.7
119	Matt Mikulski	Fordham	81.9	78.3	87.2	79.2
120	Garret Price	Liberty	81.9	81.8	91.7	71.2
121	Eli Morse	Portland	81.8	79.9	86.6	78.0
122	Landon Mitchell	Gardner-Webb	81.8	78.1	86.7	79.7
123	Tyler Santana	Jacksonville	81.8	76.3	85.5	82.5
124	Easton Walker	BYU	81.8	77.8	90.2	76.3
125	Parker Brahms	Sacramento St	81.8	81.1	86.6	76.6
126	Trent Johnson	Purdue	81.7	83.6	91.8	68.9
127	Redmond Walsh	Tennessee	81.7	83.3	90.8	62.3
128	Jack Leftwich	Florida	81.7	80.6	83.7	70.4
129	Clay Aguliar	Houston	81.7	81.7	88.1	72.3
130	Jon Tieman	Valparaiso	81.7	77.1	84.8	82.1
131	Robbie Peto	Stetson	81.6	80.8	87.2	75.9
132	Jimmy Kingsbury	Villanova	81.6	75.9	87.6	80.3
133	Richard Fitts	Auburn	81.6	78.2	82.4	70.4
134	Eric Walker	LSU	81.6	75.9	83.9	74.8
135	David Moffat	UT Arlington	81.6	77.4	87.6	78.7
136	Jordan Marks	USC Upstate	81.5	78.9	86.8	78.0
137	Slater Foust	UTSA	81.5	75.2	88.5	80.0
138	Robert Ahlstrom	Oregon	81.5	79.7	87.2	75.0
139	Liam Dvorak	Holy Cross	81.5	80.2	87.1	76.2
140	Michael Johnson	N.C. A&T	81.5	77.3	87.6	78.6
141	Collin Sullivan	South Fla.	81.4	76.8	88.0	78.6
142	Connor Schultz	Butler	81.4	81.3	91.3	77.1
143	Josh Price	Col. of Charleston	81.4	76.4	88.5	78.4
144	Tyler Mattison	Bryant	81.4	77.5	87.4	78.3
145	Reid Johnston	NC State	81.3	78.3	87.2	77.0
146	Zach Pettway	UCLA	81.3	80.4	86.8	70.4
147	Ethan Smith	Vanderbilt	81.3	83.6	91.9	57.1
148	Luke Smith	Louisville	81.2	76.8	87.5	72.7
149	Nick Swiney	NC State	81.2	86.2	87.7	67.6
150	Christian Roa	Texas A&M	81.2	82.1	88.3	63.8

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