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Daniel Wilco | NCAA.com | March 12, 2019

The complete March Madness field of 68 predicted days before Selection Sunday

Andy Katz breaks down his latest March Madness bracket before Selection Sunday

We’re in the single digits on the Selection Sunday countdown now, but there’s still plenty of uncertainty when it comes to how the field of 68 will fill out.

Our own NCAA.com basketball analyst Andy Katz has traveled the country all season long. He's watched games. He's talked to the best players and coaches. And through it all he's sifted through the mountain of information he's collected to put together full bracket predictions for the March Madness field.

Before we break down his 10th bracket prediction of the season for the Division I men's basketball tournament, let's take a look at the bracket itself. (Tap or click here to open the bracket in a new window or tab).

Andy Katz's NCAA tournament bracket prediction March 12

And here's that bracket in table form:

(This is the first prediction this season where we have teams that have won their conference tournament and clinched a spot in March Madness. Those teams are bolded. Their seed still won't be decided until Sunday, but they are guaranteed a spot in the tournament.)

  West Midwest East South
1 Gonzaga Duke Virginia Kentucky
16 Sam Houston St. St. Francis/Iona Gardner-Webb Prairie View/Norfolk St.
         
8 Louisville Iowa St. UCF Syracuse
9 Washington Ole Miss Iowa Temple
         
5 Maryland Nevada Buffalo Wisconsin
12 NMSU Florida/Indiana NC St./Ohio St. Murray St.
         
4 Florida St. Kansas St. Kansas Virginia Tech
13 Hofstra Vermont UC Irvine Liberty
         
6 Cincinnati Auburn Villanova Marquette
11 St. John's Texas TCU Oklahoma
         
3 Texas Tech Houston Purdue Michigan
14 Old Dominion Montana Harvard Georgia St.
         
7 Wofford Baylor VCU Miss. St.
10 Minnesota Seton Hall Utah St. Arizona St.
         
2 LSU Michigan St. Tennessee North Carolina
15 Bradley Colgate Omaha Wright St.


Kentucky and Tennessee flipped… again

Stop us if you’ve heard this one before — Tennessee and Kentucky traded places on the top two lines again this week. 

A week after destroying No. 4 Kentucky, Tennessee finished their regular season with an 84-80 loss at Auburn, while Kentucky won its final two games against Ole Miss and Florida.

NCAA BIDS 2019: Teams in March Madness this year

For now, that leaves Gonzaga, Virginia, Kentucky, and Duke as the 1 seeds a week before Selection Sunday. Gonzaga and Virginia are virtually locked in there, but depending on what happens in the SEC and ACC tournaments, those last two 1 seeds could be flipped. Tennessee and North Carolina control their own fate there. Knock off Kentucky and Duke, respectively, and the 1 seeds are theirs. The other two 2 seeds — Michigan State and LSU — still have an outside shot at a 1 seed, but will need a lot to fall in their favor.

Coaches take us back to their earliest March Madness memories

Auburn, VCU make big leaps

After getting blown out at Kentucky on Feb. 23, Auburn finished the season on fire, beating Georgia and Alabama on the road, Mississippi State at home, and capping it all off with an 84-80 win over No. 5 Tennessee on senior night. That led Katz to push them from an 8 to a 6 seed in today’s bracket. The Tigers also locked up the 5 seed in the SEC tournament, with a chance to face LSU and Kentucky/Tennessee before Selection Sunday. 

VCU picked up its sixth loss of the season on Jan. 23, dropping the Rams to 13-6 on the year. They haven’t lost since. Twelve straight conference wins vaulted them to first place in the A-10 and gave them a double-bye in the conference tournament. Their regular season performance earned VCU a NET ranking of 31 — miles ahead of the next A-10 team, Dayton at No. 65. It also bumped them up from a 9 seed to a 7 in Katz’s latest bracket. The Rams missed the tournament last year for the first time in eight seasons. They haven’t made it to the Sweet 16 since their run from the First Four to the Final Four in 2011, but that could easily change if they keep up the momentum.

Ohio State, Iowa, and Marquette suffer slumps

Just when it looked like Ohio State was picking up some momentum heading into the tournament, the Buckeyes started to fall apart. Ohio State lost six of its last eight games in the regular season, including three straight to close out the year. That dropped OSU from a 9 seed to a 12 in Katz’s latest prediction. They’ll have a chance to redeem themselves in the Big Ten tournament (where they face Indiana as the 8 seed and, if they win, 1-seed Michigan State).

Two weeks ago, Iowa was on a tear. The Hawkeyes had won five of six, highlighted by an upset of No. 5 Michigan at home. The only loss had been by one point to No. 24 Maryland. And then March happened. Iowa finished the season with four straight losses, including two to 16-15 Nebraska and 14-16 Rutgers. That streak saw them fall from a 7 to a 9 seed in Katz’s predictions. Still, they earned the 6 seed in the Big Ten tournament. If they win their first game, they’ll take on 3-seed Michigan Friday — a great opportunity to repeat the upset and seriously boost the resume.

Andy Katz previews conference tournaments

Marquette was arguably putting together its best season since 2013 this year, going 4-1 against Top 25 opponents and earning a No. 10 AP ranking themselves. On Feb. 23, the Golden Eagles were 23-4 and in first place in the Big East. And then they lost four straight to close out the season and were leapfrogged by Villanova, which took the conference regular season title. They also fell from a projected 4 seed to a 6 seed in Katz’s latest bracket. The Big East tournament will give them chances to redeem some of those losses, but Marquette will have to fix something before the NCAA tournament if they want to stick around in March Madness.

Andy Katz's field of 68

Here is Katz’s full seed list in order. Beneath it, you’ll find a list of all 68 teams in Katz's latest field, with how their seeding has changed since the last prediction:

Overall seed Team Seed AQ? Clinched berth
1 Gonzaga 1 AQ  
2 Virginia 1 AQ  
3 Kentucky 1    
4 Duke 1    
5 North Carolina 2    
6 Michigan State 2 AQ  
7 Tennessee 2    
8 LSU 2 AQ  
9 Texas Tech 3 AQ  
10 Michigan 3    
11 Purdue 3    
12 Houston 3 AQ  
13 Kansas State 4    
14 Kansas 4    
15 Florida State 4    
16 Virginia Tech 4    
17 Wisconsin 5    
18 Nevada 5 AQ  
19 Maryland 5    
20 Buffalo 5 AQ  
21 Villanova 6 AQ  
22 Cincinnati 6    
23 Marquette 6    
24 Auburn 6    
25 Mississippi State 7    
26 VCU 7 AQ  
27 Baylor 7    
28 Wofford 7 AQ *
29 Iowa State 8    
30 Louisville 8    
31 UCF 8    
32 Syracuse 8    
33 Temple 9    
34 Iowa 9    
35 Ole Miss 9    
36 Washington 9 AQ  
37 Seton Hall 10    
38 Arizona State 10    
39 Utah State 10    
40 Minnesota 10    
41 Texas 11    
42 Oklahoma 11    
43 TCU 11    
44 St. John's 11    
45 Florida 12    
46 Indiana 12    
47 NC State 12    
48 Ohio State 12    
49 Murray State 12 AQ *
50 New Mexico State 12 AQ  
51 Liberty 13 AQ *
52 Hofstra 13 AQ  
53 UC Irvine 13 AQ  
54 Vermont 13 AQ  
55 Old Dominion 14 AQ  
56 Harvard 14 AQ  
57 Georgia State 14 AQ  
58 Montana 14 AQ  
59 Colgate 15 AQ  
60 Wright State 15 AQ  
61 Bradley 15 AQ *
62 Omaha 15 AQ  
63 Sam Houston State 16 AQ  
64 Gardner-Webb 16 AQ *
65 Prairie View 16 AQ  
66 Norfolk State 16 AQ  
67 St. Francis (PA) 16 AQ  
68 Iona 16 AQ *

First five out: Clemson, Georgetown, Alabama, Creighton, Belmont

Bracket movement

Here is how every team's seed has changed since Katz's last prediction:

Overall seed Team Bracket 10 seed Bracket 9 seed Movement
1 Gonzaga 1 1 0
2 Virginia 1 1 0
3 Kentucky 1 2 +1
4 Duke 1 1 0
5 North Carolina 2 2 0
6 Michigan State 2 2 0
7 Tennessee 2 1 -1
8 LSU 2 3 +1
9 Texas Tech 3 3 0
10 Michigan 3 2 -1
11 Purdue 3 3 0
12 Houston 3 4 +1
13 Kansas State 4 4 0
14 Kansas 4 3 -1
15 Florida State 4 4 0
16 Virginia Tech 4 5 +1
17 Wisconsin 5 5 0
18 Nevada 5 5 0
19 Maryland 5 5 0
20 Buffalo 5 6 +1
21 Villanova 6 6 0
22 Cincinnati 6 6 0
23 Marquette 6 4 -2
24 Auburn 6 8 +2
25 Mississippi State 7 7 0
26 VCU 7 9 +2
27 Baylor 7 7 0
28 Wofford 7 8 +1
29 Iowa State 8 6 -2
30 Louisville 8 8 0
31 UCF 8 9 +1
32 Syracuse 8 7 -1
33 Temple 9 10 +1
34 Iowa 9 7 -2
35 Ole Miss 9 9 0
36 Washington 9 8 -1
37 Seton Hall 10 12 +2
38 Arizona State 10 12 +2
39 Utah State 10 11 +1
40 Minnesota 10 11 +1
41 Texas 11 10 -1
42 Oklahoma 11 10 -1
43 TCU 11 10 -1
44 St. John’s 11 11 0
45 Florida 12 12 0
46 Indiana 12 N/A N/A
47 NC State 12 12 0
48 Ohio State 12 9 -3
49 Murray State 12 N/A N/A
50 New Mexico State 12 12 0
51 Liberty 13 N/A N/A
52 Hofstra 13 13 0
53 UC Irvine 13 14 +1
54 Vermont 13 14 +1
55 Old Dominion 14 13 -1
56 Harvard 14 N/A N/A
57 Georgia State 14 N/A N/A
58 Montana 14 15 +1
59 Colgate 15 15 0
60 Wright State 15 15 0
61 Bradley 15 N/A N/A
62 Omaha 15 N/A N/A
63 Sam Houston State 16 16 0
64 Gardner-Webb 16 N/A N/A
65 Prairie View 16 16 0
66 Norfolk State 16 16 0
67 St. Francis (PA) 16 16 0
68 Iona 16 16 0

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