basketball-men-d1 flag

Joe Boozell | NCAA.com | January 28, 2019

History of 1 seed vs. 16 seed in March Madness

UMBC upsets Virginia, 74-54

No. 1 seeds have historically dominated No. 16 seeds since the NCAA tournament expanded its field in 1985. UMBC became the first 16 seed ever to upset a No. 1 seed in 2018, when the Retrievers defeated Virginia and became an overnight sensation.

Here's everything you need to know about 16 seeds vs. 1 seeds in March Madness.

MORE: Andy Katz's March Madness predictions

History of 16 vs. 1 seeds in March Madness

  • Top seeds own a 135-1 all-time record against 16 seeds. UMBC vs. Virginia was the last 16-1 game that was played, and it's the only time the upset has happened. That means 16-seeds have a 0.74 winning percentage against 1 seeds in the NCAA tournament.
  • No game had been decided by one possession since 1996 (Purdue beat Western Carolina, 73-71). That’s longer than most current college basketball players have been alive.
  • The highest scoring matchup took place in 1987, UNC’s 113-82 win over Penn.
  • The lowest score in a 1 vs. 16 game is 99 points, which has happened twice — Georgetown’s 50-49 win over Princeton in 1989, and UCLA’s 70-29 win over Mississippi Valley State in 2008.
  • The biggest blowout in the matchup's history was in 1998, when Kansas bullied Prairie View A&M for a 110-52 win.

The times a 16 almost beat a 1

A 16-seed has come within one point of a 1-seed twice. They were both in the 1989 NCAA tournament. Georgetown beat Princeton by a score of 50-49:

The second time was when Oklahoma outlasted ETSU, 72-71. ETSU led by 17 at one point, but OU stormed back:

That must have been a wake up call for the Sooners, because they beat No. 9 seed Louisiana Tech by 43 points in the next round.

The next year, Murray State took Michigan State to overtime, but ultimately lost 75-71. The last time a 16 seed lost to a 1 seed by single digits was in 2014, when Arizona defeated Weber State 68-59.

The time it actually happened

It always felt like the first 16-1 upset would be close. Well, that wasn't the case. UMBC beat Virginia 74-54 and was in control for most of the game.

Here's some of the best content to come from the greatest upset in NCAA tournament history:

UMBC Sights and Sounds
UMBC upset: Retrievers take over social media
Studio crew talks historic upset

UMBC would go on to lose to Kansas State by a score of 50-43 in the next round. Regardless, that Retrievers team will be remembered forever.

MORE: NCAA.com college hoops home

How much more likely is a 15-2 upset than a 16-1 upset?

Eight times more likely. That is how many times a 15 seed has upset a 2 seed. Here are all of the times it's happened:

15-2 upsets
Year Result Score
1991 Richmond def. Syracuse 73-69
1993 Santa Clara def. Arizona 64-61
1997 Coppin State def. South Carolina 78-65
2001 Hampton def. Iowa State 58-57
2012 Lehigh def. Duke 75-70
2012 Norfolk State def. Missouri 86-84
2013 Florida Gulf Coast def. Georgetown 78-68
2016 Middle Tennessee def. Michigan State 90-81

There have been 21 14-seed over 3-seed upsets, too. Clearly, the 16-1 is the most scarce, and by a significant amount.

College basketball: Longest active home winning streaks

Here are the current longest active home winning streaks in DI men's college basketball.
READ MORE

These 10 former college basketball stars stood out in the 2019 NBA Summer League

With the NBA Summer League Championship set for Monday night, here are Andy Katz's 10 favorite former college players that he watched in Las Vegas.
READ MORE

Kentucky athletics director named future leader of DI Men’s Basketball Committee

The NCAA Division I Men’s Basketball Committee has selected Mitch Barnhart, the director of athletics at Kentucky, as its chair for the 2020-21 season. Barnhart will serve as vice chair of the committee for the upcoming season, working with 2019-20 committee chair Kevin White, who is vice president and director of athletics at Duke.
READ MORE

Subscribe To Email Updates

Enter your information to receive emails about offers, promotions from NCAA.com and our partners