basketball-men-d1 flag

Stan Becton | NCAA.com | February 15, 2022

2022 men's NCAA tournament bracket predictions, less than one month away

2022 men's NCAA tournament bracket predicted, through Feb. 14

Selection Sunday for the 2022 NCAA Division I men's basketball tournament is less than one month away. With March Madness rapidly approaching, NCAA.com correspondent Andy Katz has updated his projections for the 2022 men's basketball tournament.

Here's how Katz projects the 68-team field to look, through Monday, Feb. 14.

First, here's the bracket in table form.

March Madness bracket predictions

Seed WEST EAST MIDWEST SOUTH
1 Gonzaga Kentucky Auburn Arizona
16 UNC Wilmington Longwood/Norfolk State Texas Southern/New Orleans Colgate
         
8 Colorado State Seton Hall Boise State Saint Mary's
9 Davidson Notre Dame Miami (FL) Indiana
         
5 Alabama Houston Michigan State Texas
12 North Texas SMU Chattanooga Memphis/Oregon
         
4 Ohio State UCLA Villanova Tennessee
13 Vermont South Dakota State Iona Toledo
         
6 Southern California LSU Xavier UConn
11 Loyola Chicago San Francisco/Michigan Murray State Iowa State
         
3 Texas Tech Providence Illinois Wisconsin
14 Seattle Liberty Wagner Texas State
         
7 Marquette Wyoming Arkansas Iowa
10 Oklahoma TCU Wake Forest North Carolina
         
2 Duke Purdue Kansas Baylor
15 Long Beach State Yale Cleveland State Montana State

RANKINGS: Click here for the latest NET rankings | AP Top 25

Let's take a closer look at Katz's bracket.

Arizona and Kentucky rise to No. 1 seeds

The top overall seed is unchanged in Katz’s latest bracket projection, with Gonzaga at the top. However, the rest of the No. 1 seeds have a different look.

Arizona jumps from a two seed to second overall, in front of Auburn; the Tigers kept their one seed, but fell from second to third overall.

Rounding out the one seeds is Kentucky. With a national player of the year candidate in Oscar Tshiebwe, the Wildcats have surged from a three seed to a one seed in a matter of weeks.

With two new teams earning one seeds, two teams had to fall out as Kansas and Baylor — both out of the Big 12 — each dropped to two seeds.

❓: 10 college basketball questions as we enter the home stretch of the regular season

Number of bids by conference

Conferences with multiple teams in Katz's preseason bracket
Conference Total Teams Teams (Automatic Qualifier in bold)
Big Ten 8 Purdue, Illinois, Wisconsin, Ohio State,
Michigan State, Iowa, Indiana, Michigan
Big 12 7 Kansas, Baylor, Texas Tech, Texas,
Oklahoma, TCU, Iowa State
Big East 6 Providence, Villanova, Xavier, UConn,
Marquette, Seton Hall
SEC 6 Auburn, Kentucky, Tennessee, Alabama,
LSU, Arkansas
ACC 5 Duke, Notre Dame, Miami (FL.), Wake Forest, North Carolina
Pac-12 4 Arizona, UCLA, Southern California, Oregon
AAC 3 Houston, Memphis, SMU
West Coast 3 Gonzaga, Saint Mary's, San Francisco
Mountain West 3 Wyoming, Colorado State, Boise State

The Big Ten leads all conferences with eight teams in the projected field, returning to the top of the list of conferences. So far, the Big Ten has had the most teams in all but one bracket projection.

Meanwhile, the SEC has lost some of its luster from a few weeks ago when it had a nation-leading eight teams in the tournament. However, with two number one seeds, the conference remains a threat come March.

TITLETOWN: Ranking the top 10 men's basketball national title contenders

Teams on the outside looking in

Here are Andy Katz's first four teams out.

First four out

1. BYU
2. Virginia
3. Rutgers
4. Florida

Virginia finds itself just outside the First Four out after its stunning win over Duke on the road. The Cavaliers have won four in a row entering the second half of February, surging at the right time of the year.

Rutgers earned its way on the bubble thanks to six Quadrant 1 wins this season. The Scarlet Knights added wins over Ohio State and Wisconsin to its victory over Purdue when it was ranked No. 1 in the nation. Rutgers can play its way into the tournament with a regular season-ending schedule that includes visits to Purdue and Michigan plus battles against Illinois and Wisconsin.

Here are the next teams to miss the cut.

Next four out

5. Mississippi State
6. San Diego State
7. West Virginia
8. Creighton

WAHOO: Virginia, a team that once won the ultimate turnaround title, is looking for the ultimate turnaround season

Andy Katz's field of 68

Here is Katz’s full seed list in order, 1-68:

RANK | SEED | TEAM | CONFERENCE
1. 1 -- Gonzaga | WCC (AQ)
2. 1 -- Arizona | Pac-12 (AQ)
3. 1 -- Auburn | SEC (AQ)
4. 1 -- Kentucky | SEC
5. 2 -- Kansas | Big 12 (AQ)
6. 2 -- Purdue | Big Ten
7. 2 -- Baylor | Big 12
8. 2 -- Duke | ACC (AQ)
9. 3 -- Illinois | Big Ten (AQ)
10. 3 -- Providence | Big East (AQ)
11. 3 -- Texas Tech | Big 12
12. 3 -- Wisconsin | Big Ten
13. 4 -- Villanova | Big East
14. 4 -- UCLA | Pac-12
15. 4 -- Tennessee | SEC
16. 4 -- Ohio State | Big Ten
17. 5 -- Texas | Big 12
18. 5 -- Michigan State | Big Ten
19. 5 -- Houston | AAC
20. 5 -- Alabama | SEC
21. 6 -- Southern California | Pac-12
22. 6 -- Xavier | Big East
23. 6 -- UConn | Big East
24. 6 -- LSU | SEC
25. 7 -- Arkansas | SEC
26. 7 -- Marquette | Big East
27. 7 -- Iowa | Big Ten
28. 7 -- Wyoming | MWC (AQ)
29. 8 -- Seton Hall | Big East
30. 8 -- Saint Mary's | WCC
31. 8 -- Colorado State | MWC
32. 8 -- Boise State | MWC
33. 9 -- Notre Dame | ACC
34. 9 -- Miami (FL.) | ACC
35. 9 -- Davidson | A10 (AQ)
36. 9 -- Indiana | Big Ten
37. 10 -- Wake Forest | ACC
38. 10 -- Oklahoma | Big 12
39. 10 -- North Carolina | ACC
40. 10 -- TCU | Big 12
41. 11 -- Murray State | OVC (AQ)
42. 11 -- Loyola-Chicago | MVC (AQ)
43. 11 -- Iowa State | Big 12
44. 11 -- San Francisco | WCC
45. 11 -- Michigan | Big Ten
46. 12 -- Memphis | AAC
47. 12 -- Oregon | Pac-12
48. 12 -- SMU | AAC (AQ)
49. 12 -- North Texas | C-USA (AQ)
50. 12 -- Chattanooga | SoCon (AQ)
51. 13 -- Toledo | MAC (AQ)
52. 13 -- South Dakota State | Summit (AQ)
53. 13 -- Iona | MAAC (AQ)
54. 13 -- Vermont | America East (AQ)
55. 14 -- Liberty | ASUN (AQ)
56. 14 -- Wagner | NEC (AQ)
57. 14 -- Seattle | WAC (AQ)
58. 14 -- Texas State | Sun Belt (AQ)
59. 15 -- Montana State | Big Sky (AQ)
60. 15 -- Yale | Ivy (AQ)
61. 15 -- Cleveland State | Horizon (AQ)
62. 15 -- Long Beach State | Big West (AQ)
63. 16 -- Colgate | Patriot (AQ)
64. 16 -- UNC Wilmington | CAA (AQ)
65. 16 -- Longwood | Big South (AQ)
66. 16 -- Norfolk State | MEAC (AQ)
67. 16 -- Texas Southern | SWAC (AQ)
68. 16 -- New Orleans | Southland (AQ)

How Duke's new head coach Jon Scheyer is already impacting the program after replacing Coach K

New Duke men's basketball head coach Jon Scheyer talked to Andy Katz about the future of the program. Watch the full interview here.
READ MORE

Jaden Ivey: College basketball stats, highlights, best moments at Purdue

Essential stats and highlights from Jaden Ivey's college basketball career at Purdue, where he averaged 17.3 points his sophomore season and led the Boilermakers to the Sweet 16.
READ MORE

NCAA Officiating Coordinator J.D. Collins announces retirement

NCAA national coordinator of men's basketball officiating, J.D. Collins announced that he will be stepping down this fall.
READ MORE

Subscribe To Email Updates

Enter your information to receive emails about offers, promotions from NCAA.com and our partners