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Daniel Wilco | NCAA.com | April 2, 2018

How many people correctly predicted this championship matchup?

Moe Wagner was Michigan's spark

Millions of brackets were filled out in the Capital One Bracket Challenge Game this year, but only 37,356 correctly picked the national championship matchup of Michigan vs. Villanova.

Of those brackets, 54.2 percent picked Villanova to win the title — one that would be their second in three years.

In total, 17.5 percent of all brackets picked the Wildcats to win the championship, the most of any team. Michigan was picked to win it all in 3.5 percent of all brackets, good for 9th place.

Rank Team Picked to win title Result
1 Villanova 17.5% IN CHAMP GAME
2 Virginia 16.46% Lost in first round
3 Duke 10.96% Lost in Elite Eight
4 Kansas 9.56% Lost in Final Four
5 UNC 8.36% Lost in second round
6 Mich. St. 7.74% Lost in second round
7 Arizona 4.92% Lost in first round
8 Xavier 4.18% Lost in second round
9 Michigan 3.5% IN CHAMP GAME
10 Purdue 2.59% Lost in Sweet 16

The matchup also means that only two brackets have a chance to win the Bracket Challenge Game.

Bracket ‘Che 3’ is currently in first place, and picked Villanova to win. ‘Team Bellisimo’ is in second, with Michigan as its champion.

The 37,356 who nailed the championship game is an impressive leap from just the 54 brackets that got a perfect Final Four. You can thank 11-seed Loyola — which became the fourth 11 seed to make the Final Four (and the fourth to lose in the semifinal) — for that disparity.

VIEW THE BRACKET

Michigan vs. Villanova — a 3 seed against a 1 seed — wasn’t exactly the most surprising of championship matchups.

The average combined seed value for a national championship is 4.7, and 16 of the 33 championships since 1985 have featured a seed value of 4 or lower. Interestingly though, this is just the second time ever that a 1 and 3 seed are facing off for the title.

Year Total Seed value Matchup Result
1993 2 (1) UNC vs. (1) Michigan UNC, 77-71
1999 2 (1) UConn vs. (1) Duke UConn, 77-74
2005 2 (1) UNC vs. (1) Illinois UNC, 75-70
2007 2 (1) Florida vs. (1) Ohio State Florida, 84-75
2008 2 (1) Kansas vs. (1) Memphis Kansas, 75-68
2015 2 (1) Duke vs. (1) Wisconsin Duke, 68-63
2017 2 (1) UNC vs. (1) Gonzaga UNC, 71-65
1986 3 (2) Louisville vs. (1) Duke Louisville, 72-69
1987 3 (1) Indiana vs. (2) Syracuse Indiana, 74-73
1994 3 (1) Arkansas vs. (2) Duke Arkansas, 76-72
1995 3 (1) UCLA vs. (2) Arkansas UCLA, 89-78
2001 3 (1) Duke vs. (2) Arizona Duke, 82-72
2009 3 (1) UNC vs. (2) Michigan State UNC, 89-72
2012 3 (1) Kentucky vs. (2) Kansas Kentucky, 67-59
2016 3 (2) Villanova vs. (1) UNC Villanova, 77-74
1990 4 (1) UNLV vs. (3) Duke UNLV, 103-73
2018 4 (1) Villanova vs. (3) Michigan TBD
1991 5 (2) Duke vs. (3) Kansas Duke, 72-65
1996 5 (1) Kentucky vs. (4) Syracuse Kentucky, 76-67
1997 5 (4) Arizona vs. (1) Kentucky Arizona, 84-79
1998 5 (2) Kentucky vs. (3) Utah Kentucky, 78-69
2003 5 (3) Syracuse vs. (2) Kansas Syracuse, 81-78
2004 5 (2) UConn vs. (3) Georgia Tech UConn, 82-73
2006 5 (3) Florida vs. (2) UCLA Florida, 73-57
2013 5 (1) Louisville vs. (4) Michigan Louisville, 82-76
1989 6 (3) Michigan vs. (3) Seton Hall Michigan, 80-79
2000 6 (1) Michigan State vs. (5) Florida Michigan State, 89-76
2002 6 (1) Maryland vs. (5) Indiana Maryland, 64-52
2010 6 (1) Duke vs. (5) Butler Duke, 61-59
1988 7 (6) Kansas vs. (1) Oklahoma Kansas, 83-79
1992 7 (1) Duke vs. (6) Michigan Duke, 71-51
1985 9 (8) Villanova vs. (1) Georgetown Villanova, 66-64
2011 11 (3) UConn vs. (8) Butler UConn, 53-41
2014 15 (7) UConn vs. (8) Kentucky UConn, 60-54

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