Bracket IQ

BACK TO Bracket IQ
basketball-men-d1 flag

Daniel Wilco | NCAA.com | February 5, 2020

How No. 13 seeds do in March Madness

  No. 13 Hawaii knocked off No. 4 California in the opening round of the 2016 NCAA Tournament.

*Note: All data is from the 1985 tournament to the present.

In the 2019 NCAA tournament, UC Irvine became the 29th No. 13 seed to win in the first round of the NCAA tournament. The Anteaters defeated No. 4 seed Kansas State 70-64 before losing to No. 12 seed Oregon 73-54 in the second round.

And in 2018, No. 13 seed Buffalo, with a 21-point win against No. 4 seed Arizona, and No. 13 seed Marshall, with a six-point win against No. 4 seed Wichita State, joined that list of No. 13 seeds to win in the first round of the tournament.

In total, there have been 29 No. 13 seeds that have upset a No. 4 seed in the first round of the NCAA tournament, but they're 3-5 against No. 4 seeds in the last two seasons.

Back in 1985 — the first year of the 64-team tournament — David Robinson’s Navy squad showed the college basketball world the No. 13 seed shouldn’t be taken lightly. That year, the Midshipmen cruised to a 78-55 victory against fourth-seeded LSU in the opening round. Though Navy didn’t advance past the second round, the win served as a reminder no team is safe, and the 23-point victory is still the largest by a No. 13 seed in its first game.

First Round: Hawai'i upsets Cal

No. 13 seeds upset No. 4 seeds close to 21 percent of the time. And what stands out most is that many of those opening round wins have been won by five points or fewer. The No. 13 seed is 6-2 in games decided by one point.

Year Winner Loser Score
1985 No. 4 Loyola Chicago No. 13 Iona 59-58
1987 No. 13 Xavier No. 4 Missouri 70-69
1998 No. 13 Valparaiso No. 4 Mississippi 70-69
1999 No. 13 Oklahoma No. 4 Arizona 61-60
2004 No. 4 Wake Forest No. 13 VCU 79-78
2008 No. 13 San Diego No. 4 Connecticut 70-69
2010 No. 13 Murray State No. 4 Vanderbilt 66-65
2011 No. 13 Morehead State No. 4 Louisville 62-61

Of the 28 upset victors, six reached the Sweet 16, starting with Richmond in 1988 and most recently with La Salle in 2013.

Valparaiso won in dramatic fashion against Ole Miss in 1998. With 2.5 seconds left in the game and down two, the Crusaders had one final shot to win the game. Inbounding from the opposite baseline, Jamie Sykes threw an inbounds pass to Bill Jenkins at mid-court. Jenkins tapped it to Bryce Drew, who tossed up a desperation 23-foot 3-pointer. The shot went down as time expired to send Valpo to the second round. 

 

March Madness: Getting to know the No. 8 seed in the NCAA tournament

Check out the detailed history of how the No. 8 seed has fared in the NCAA Tournament.
READ MORE

The First Four of the NCAA tournament | The ultimate guide

The First Four is the official start to March Madness: four games played on the first Tuesday and Wednesday of the NCAA tournament. Here’s everything you need to know about it.
READ MORE

March Madness: Getting to know the No. 9 seed in the NCAA tournament

Check out the detailed history of how the No. 9 seed has fared in the NCAA Tournament.
READ MORE

Subscribe To Email Updates

Enter your information to receive emails about offers, promotions from NCAA.com and our partners