Bracket IQ

BACK TO Bracket IQ
basketball-men-d1 flag

Daniel Wilco | NCAA.com | February 5, 2020

How No. 8 seeds do in March Madness

Clash of the Underdogs: Super Nova

*Note: All data is from the 1985 tournament to the present.

In 1985, the Villanova Wildcats shocked the college basketball world with their 69-64 upset over Georgetown in the title game. The team not only won the first tournament that expanded to 64 teams, but more than three decades later, Villanova remains the lowest seed to ever capture a national championship.

But the Wildcats almost didn’t make it out of the first round that season as they barely escaped No. 9 seed Dayton with a 51-49 win. Sometimes for the eight seeds, the opening round can be just as challenging as any other part of the tournament.

No. 8 seeds have the most difficult match-ups (as "favorites") in the first round since they are usually so evenly matched with their No. 9 seed counterparts. Since the tournament expanded to 64, teams in the No. 8 slot have won 68 of the 140 first-round matchups -- just below 50 percent.

Another Wildcats team in the No. 8 seed almost didn’t make it out of the opening round. The 2014 Kentucky Wildcats barely survived No. 9 Kansas State but eventually advanced to the national championship against seventh-seeded Connecticut. Kentucky is tied with BYU for the most appearances as an eighth-seed and has a 3-1 record compared to the Cougars' 0-4 record.

About 60 percent of the 8-vs.-9 games have been decided by single digits.

It is also rare for all four eight seeds to sweep the nine seeds. That's occurred only three times since 1985, including 2015’s tournament field of N.C. State, Cincinnati, Oregon and San Diego State.

2017 saw a nearly perfect year for the No. 8 seeds go to waste when Michigan State took out Miami (FL) with a colossal 20-point win. No. 8 seed Northwestern, meanwhile, beat No. 9 seed Vanderbilt by just two points for its first tournament win in program history.

2018 was a bummer for No. 8 seeds as just one, Seton Hall, made it out of the first round. The Pirates were bounced in the round of 32, making it a short tournament for 8-seeds. But 2019 was even more brief as VCU, Syracuse, Utah State and Ole Miss all lost in the first round by an average of 16 points.

March Madness: 3 things to know if you pick a team that shoots a lot of 3s

We looked at the last 16 years of NCAA Tournament data and came up with three things you should consider when picking teams that shoot a lot of 3s in your March Madness bracket.
READ MORE

College basketball rankings: Even unranked teams find success in the NCAA tournament

Since the NCAA tournament expanded to 64 teams in 1985 — its modern format — only four of 35 national champions were unranked to start the season. That’s about one in every nine years.
READ MORE

The First Four of the NCAA tournament | The ultimate guide

The First Four is the official start to March Madness: four games played on the first Tuesday and Wednesday of the NCAA tournament. Here’s everything you need to know about it.
READ MORE

Subscribe To Email Updates

Enter your information to receive emails about offers, promotions from NCAA.com and our partners