football-fbs flag

Joe Boozell | | September 30, 2017

Predictions, what to watch in Week 5

Hand Him The... Penn State's Saquon Barkley

Week 4 wound up being sneaky entertaining. There are no Top 10 matchups to look forward to in Week 5, but it has the potential to shake up the College Football Playoff picture.

*Can John Kelly have a huge performance against a stout Georgia defense? (Georgia at Tennessee, 3:30 p.m. ET, CBS)

He’ll need to if Tennessee is going to hang in this one. The junior tailback is going to need to have a Florida-like performance, when he ran for 141 yards and hauled in six balls for 96 yards. Why? Because the Volunteers don’t have much else on offense. And the Georgia defense is scary.

Kelly accounted for 237 of Tennessee’s 442 yards against Florida. Similar story against Georgia Tech, when he scored four of the Vols’ six touchdowns. He’s a transcendent player.

But will that be enough to top a Georgia defense that just held Mississippi State to three points? Or Notre Dame to 19 in South Bend? The Bulldogs’ formula works. Pound it with Nick Chubb and Sony Michel, put Jake Fromm in comfortable situations and let the defense go to work. No need to get cute here.

Weird stuff always happens in this matchup. Tennessee beat Georgia last season, in Athens, on a walk-off Hail Mary. The Volunteers got a taste of their own medicine a few weeks ago against Florida.

Expect Tennessee to keep it close. But Georgia is too complete to pick against here.

Score prediction: Georgia 24, Tennessee 17

*Can Mississippi State prove it can play well away from Starkville? (Mississippi State at Auburn, 6 p.m. ET, ESPN)

Mississippi State was as bad on the road against Georgia as it was good against LSU at home. Who are the real Bulldogs?

They have another tough matchup this week. Auburn’s lone loss was at Clemson. Outside of that game, Auburn has outscored opponents 116-31. Jarrett Stidham is getting the hang of the offense after a rocky start, completing more than 80 percent of his passes in his last two outings.

Find live sports.
Wherever you are.

Download the app.
Auburn hasn’t had an air threat like Stidham since Cam Newton. Granted, that speaks more to Auburn’s run-first mentality than Stidham, but the offense has more breathing room than usual. That’s crucial against Mississippi State, which was able to suffocate a ground-and-pound LSU offense but struggled against a diverse Georgia attack.

Based on what we’ve seen, home-field advantage is huge. Auburn can hang anywhere. Mississippi State can beat good teams, but we haven’t seen it away from Starkville. That’s the difference here.

Score prediction: Auburn 30, Mississippi State 20

*Is Texas Tech’s defense as improved as it looks? (Oklahoma State at Texas Tech, 8 p.m. ET, FOX)

This game doesn’t pop out on the schedule. Perhaps it should.

This year, the Red Raiders are typically themselves on offense, but they’ve been better on D. They won at Houston and scored only 27 points. In years past, scoring only 27 points would get Texas Tech beat. Badly.

So in Lubbock, against an Oklahoma State team that just laid an egg vs. TCU, does this have upset potential? Maybe. Granted, Texas Tech hasn’t faced an offense like the Cowboys’ yet. Despite the TCU loss, Mason Rudolph and James Washington remain one of the scariest tandems in the game.

But that Cowboy defense is a giant question mark. Texas Tech will score. It’s topped 50 in two of its three outings. A back-and-forth shootout is entirely possible. From there, who knows what can happen?

Other games have more CFP implications. But from a pure entertainment standpoint, this is a matchup to watch.

Score prediction: Oklahoma State 48, Texas Tech 42

*Can Virginia Tech keep Clemson’s defensive line away from Josh Jackson? (Clemson at Virginia Tech, 8 p.m. ET, ABC)

Jackson and the Hokies looked awesome in Week 1 against West Virginia, but they haven’t faced a team anywhere near Clemson’s caliber since then.

Meanwhile, Clemson has two of the most impressive wins of anyone, knocking off Auburn at home and Louisville on the road. Oh, and the Louisville win was emphatic. Reigning Heisman winner Lamar Jackson couldn’t solve the Tiger defense. If he can't, who possibly can?

To his credit, Virginia Tech’s Jackson has passed every test. The freshman has 11 touchdown passes and one interception. He can move, too, which is critical against the fast and mean Clemson front seven. Jackson ran for 101 yards on 11 carries against West Virginia.

Virginia Tech is also at home, which is huge. It would be hard to envision the Hokies winning in Death Valley. But in Blacksburg, with "Enter Sandman" blaring and an inconsistent Clemson passing game coming to town, it’s possible.

That said, it’s still unlikely. If Louisville couldn’t puncture the Clemson defense at home, it’s hard to project any offense doing so.

Virginia Tech is solid all around. Justin Fuente has done a masterful job with the Hokies. But Clemson has the most trustworthy unit on the field. That gives the Tigers a slight edge, even on the road.

Score prediction: Clemson 24, Virginia Tech 20

Other predictions

Florida 31, Vanderbilt 20 (Noon ET, ESPN)
Wisconsin 38, Northwestern 21 (Noon ET, ABC)
Iowa 24, Michigan State 23 (4 p.m. ET, FOX)
Alabama 40, Ole Miss 13  (9 p.m. ET, ESPN)

The 25 biggest FCS football stadiums in the country

Twenty-five FCS football stadiums hold a capacity of at least 20,000 in 2023. Here is the complete list of the biggest stadiums in the country.

The Black Hills Brawl and 10 other most-played rivalries in DII football history

South Dakota School of Mines and Black Hills State faced off yet again in their long history, making it the most played rivalry in DII football. Here's the complete list.

Basketball can wait (for now) as Duke, Kansas, Kentucky and North Carolina rise in football

Together, Duke, Kansas, Kentucky and North Carolina have been surprises early this season, the kind of success usually found on the court.

Subscribe To Email Updates

Enter your information to receive emails about offers, promotions from and our partners